Projected Health Financing Transitions: Timeline and Magnitude
, a new working paper that was recently released, maps out an indicative timeline of transition, along with the fiscal impact, through 2040 across five global health financing mechanisms, including Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance. Research findings from the paper show that:
- By 2040, Gavi will see major transformations of its funding portfolios
- Countries in the most fiscal jeopardy from anticipated transition are not those transitioning based on GDP per capita or disease burden, but instead those that are likely to be impacted by the near-term wind-down of GPEI and reallocations of PEPFAR financing